by Claire Morin | 30 January 2019
Published in Global Change Biology 24(10): 4797-4815. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14365
The accumulation of soil carbon (C) is regulated by a complex interplay between abiotic and biotic factors. Our study aimed to identify the main drivers of soil C accumulation in the boreal forest of eastern North America. Ecosystem C pools were measured in 72 sites of fire origin that burned 2–314 years ago over a vast region with a range of ∆ mean annual temperature of 3°C and one of ∆ 500 mm total precipitation. We used a set of multivariate a priori causal hypotheses to test the influence of time since fire (TSF), climate, soil physico-chemistry and bryophyte dominance on forest soil organic C accumulation. Integrating the direct and indirect effects among abiotic and biotic variables explained as much as 50% of the full model variability. The main direct drivers of soil C stocks were: TSF >bryophyte dominance of the FH layer and metal oxide content >pH of the mineral soil. Only climate parameters related to water availability contributed significantly to explaining soil C stock variation. Importantly, climate was found to affect FH layer and mineral soil C stocks indirectly through its effects on bryophyte dominance and organo-metal complexation, respectively. Soil texture had no influence on soil C stocks. Soil C stocks increased both in the FH layer and mineral soil with TSF and this effect was linked to a decrease in pH with TSF in mineral soil. TSF thus appears to be an important factor of soil development and of C sequestration in mineral soil through its influence on soil chemistry. Overall, this work highlights that integrating the complex interplay between the main drivers of soil C stocks into mechanistic models of C dynamics could improve our ability to assess C stocks and better anticipate the response of the boreal forest to global change.
by Claire Morin | 30 January 2019
Published in Canadian Journal of Forest Research 47(8): 1066-1074. https://doi.org/10.1139/cjfr-2016-0498
Survival analysis methods make better use of temporal information, accommodate multiple levels of explanatory variables, and are meant to deal with interval-censored data. In a context of harvest modeling, this approach could improve some known limitations. In this study, we used data from a network of permanent plots in the province of Quebec, Canada, as a real-world case study. We tested the potential of survival analysis to predict plot-level harvest probabilities from plot- and regional-level variables. The approach also included random effects to account for spatial correlations. The results showed the potential of survival analysis to provide annual predictions of harvest occurrence. Both regional and time-varying variables, as well as spatial patterns, had important effects on the probability of a plot to be harvested. Respectively, reductions in the annual allowable cut volumes led to a decrease in the harvest probabilities. Greater harvest probabilities were associated with the broadleaved dynamics class and higher values of basal area. In contrast, they were decreased by stem density and slope classes. The spatial random effect resulted in an improvement of the model fit. Our plot-level model improved some limitations reported in previous studies by taking the effect of a time-varying regional variable into account.
by Claire Morin | 30 January 2019
Published in Journal of Biogeography 44(6): 1268-1279. https://doi.org/10.1111/jbi.12921
Aim Wildfire activity is projected to increase under global warming in many parts of the world. Knowledge of the role of these disturbances in shaping the composition of boreal forests is needed to better anticipate their future impacts. Here, we investigate the incidence of wildfire activity (burned biomass, frequency and size) on multi-millennia vegetation trajectories in two coniferous boreal forest regions that display different types of vegetation composition and relief. We hypothesize that this difference in vegetation results from dissimilar wildfire activity during the Holocene. Location Conifer-dominated boreal forests in Quebec-Labrador, eastern North America. Methods Fire and vegetation histories during the last 8000 years were reconstructed and compared through analyses of charcoal and pollen records extracted from nine lacustrine deposits located in two spruce-moss forests: the western region, co-dominated by Pinus banksiana, and the eastern region, co-dominated by Abies balsamea. Results Between 7000 and 2000 cal. yr bp, the western region experienced fewer fires than the eastern region, but they were larger in size. The main species adapted to fire, P. banksiana and Alnus viridis ssp. crispa, progressively co-dominated with Picea sp.. Conversely, in the eastern region, P. banksiana and A. viridis ssp. crispa were very rare, and Picea sp. co-dominated with non-fire-adapted A. balsamea and Betula sp.. Then, around 2000 cal. yr bp, fires decreased in frequency but were larger in size in the eastern region than in the western one, thus allowing densification of P. banksiana and A. viridis ssp. crispa in these landscapes. Main conclusions In the coniferous boreal forests of eastern North America, fire size was relatively more important in determining the long-term vegetation trajectories in comparison with fire frequency. Changes in the rate of occurrence of large-fire episodes will have significant impacts on vegetation dynamics over the next decades under continuing warming.
by Claire Morin | 30 January 2019
Published in Forests 9(8): 471. https://doi.org/10.3390/f9080471
Natural disturbances are fundamental to forest ecosystem dynamics and have been used for two decades to improve forest management, notably in the boreal forest. Initially based on fire regimes, there is now a need to extend the concept to include other types of disturbances as they can greatly contribute to forest dynamics in some regions of the boreal zone. Here we review the main descriptors—that is, the severity, specificity, spatial and temporal descriptors and legacies, of windthrow and spruce bud worm outbreak disturbance regimes in boreal forests—in order to facilitate incorporating them into a natural disturbance-based forest management framework. We also describe the biological legacies that are generated by these disturbances. Temporal and spatial descriptors characterising both disturbance types are generally variable in time and space. This makes them difficult to reproduce in an ecosystem management framework. However, severity and specificity descriptors may provide a template upon which policies for maintaining post harvesting and salvage logging biological legacies can be based. In a context in which management mainly targets mature and old-growth stages, integrating insect and wind disturbances in a management framework is an important goal, as these disturbances contribute to creating heterogeneity in mature and old-growth forest characteristics.
